Bond Yields

US 10-Year Treasury Yield Surges to 35-Month High as Inflation Pressures Resurface

09 Sep 2026

The US 10-year Treasury yield climbed to its highest level in 35 months on September 9, driven by resurgent inflation concerns, elevated energy costs, and steady labour conditions. High-frequency private employment data from ADP showed four-week average weekly job additions rising to 12,000 from 10,000 previously, underlining ongoing labour market resilience. The surge in long-end yields alongside firming odds of a 25-basis-point Federal Reserve rate hike has tightened broader financial conditions, underpinning US Dollar strength across G10 crosses while placing downside pressure on risk-correlated currencies and sovereign debt markets globally.

Why it matters

Elevated long-term yields and firming US interest rate expectations widen nominal rate differentials against lower-yielding peers like the euro and yen, while tightening global financial conditions and weighing on risk-correlated cyclical currencies.

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